For almost ten years, communities in the Sahel and Lake Chad Basin have been devastated by violent conflicts brought on by VEOs. The problem has been exacerbated by recent floods that have displaced hundreds of thousands of people. Floods brought on by this climatic shock make people wonder if already-existing disputes will get worse or if new ones will start. Although these worries are legitimate and climate change may be a contributing factor to conflicts, research suggests that the relationship between climate change and conflict is still complicated, ambiguous, and debatable. At the same time, populations residing in conflict-affected areas are more likely to experience stress due to climatic shocks like the recent floods. It is false to assume that tensions and disputes would inevitably result from this stress.

https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/floods-lake-chad-basin-and-sahel-climate-change-conflict-nexus