Conflict and animosity are already being exacerbated by the effects of climate change. Communities who depend on farming and herding are becoming more vulnerable as a result of the central Sahel’s agricultural production being strained by rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, and changing seasonal patterns. Communities are growing more and more irritated with the state’s failure to meet their demands as vital resources like water and arable land become more limited. As communities are compelled to relocate, migration patterns are changing, intensifying competition for resources and strengthening anti-state sentiment. The disruption of conventional means of subsistence is creating opportunities for extremist organizations to enlist people in search of security and assistance. As climate conditions intensify competition for resources, escalating conflict and instability, ethnic and religious distinctions are becoming more apparent.

https://institute.global/insights/geopolitics-and-security/from-crisis-to-conflict-climate-change-and-violent-extremism-in-the-sahel