“Climate change plays an important role in the future of the Sahel. Temperatures could rise 1.5 times faster than the global average and climate shocks and extreme events are projected to become more frequent and severe. These changes are accompanied by other challenges: accelerated population growth, low economic productivity and production diversity, political conflicts and crises, inter-communal violence and violent extremism. Looking ahead to 2050, this paper presents three scenarios for the part of the Sahel comprising Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger.”
https://climate-diplomacy.org/magazine/conflict/climate-change-vulnerability-and-security-sahel