In order to guide more focused development initiatives, the study looks at the structural differences in agrosilvopastoral systems across 16 Sahel and Horn of Africa nations. It is evaluated how these factors influence the predominance of nomadic transhumance vs semi-sedentary agropastoralism using multivariate analysis of important livestock development indicators, such as population density, market accessibility, and growing season length. Results show that mobile pastoralism is spatially dominant and is linked to bigger herd sizes, particularly in Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia, Kenya, and Chad. Nigeria and Chad produce excellent meat, whereas Kenya and Ethiopia produce the most milk. According to climate estimates, decreased rainfall will make agropastoral viability less viable in 9.1% of the region, while 7.5% will become newly appropriate for pastoralism. The design of context-specific public investments that are in line with the changing requirements of agropastoral communities is supported by these insights.

https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/spatial-distribution-productive-importance-and-future-prospects-o